Briefing
The Spanish Council of State has confirmed the new election to the Congreso de los Diputados and the Senado for Sunday, 29 November 2026, by royal decree; the decree dissolving the Cortes was published in the Boletín Oficial del Estado . The date is therefore official and provides the reference point for all subsequent announcements and polls.
At the same time, the Boletín Oficial del Estado of 4 November 2026 contains a personnel decision: Óscar Puente Santiago has accordingly been dismissed as Minister for Transport and Sustainable Mobility; the decision is documented in the official gazette with a date and reference. Both entries can be consulted as official primary sources and establish the immediate news context.
On election forecasts, several polling aggregators and individual pollsters provide consistent indications in the first days of November 2026: across the range of published surveys, a number give the Partido Popular in combination with the party Vox a lead in votes and seats over the fragmented left (Partido Socialista Obrero Español, Sumar/Frente Amplio and others). However, results differ considerably depending on the pollster, fieldwork dates and methodology. Important limitations remain: many polls use different weighting and projection models; the legal blackout on publication immediately before polling day also limits the interpretation of near-term trends.
Claims such as ‘the right-wing bloc retains its majority’ can therefore only be published if the pollsters, fieldwork dates and methodologies behind them are specified precisely. In conclusion, the election date (29 November 2026) and the personnel decision documented in the official gazette are confirmed.
However, claims about stable majorities must be supported by specific, dated polling figures; without such primary evidence, forecasts remain speculative.
Editor: Mira Cadena (Article created with AI assistance).