Briefing
The State Meteorological Agency Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) forecasts highs of around or above 25 °C on Monday 25 October 2026, across a broad coastal strip in the south and east, as well as in the Balearic Islands and parts of the Canary Islands. This is based on the agency’s latest weekly and short-range forecasts, as well as model runs showing a positive temperature anomaly compared with the 1991–2020 climate average for the last ten days of October.
Meteorologically, the situation is explained by a stable high-pressure system with southerly to easterly flows bringing subtropical air masses to the Iberian Peninsula . With mostly sunny skies and light winds, daytime temperatures may rise noticeably once again, especially on the coast; inland in mountainous areas, highs will often remain lower. AEMET and other weather services stress that local variations are possible due to cloud cover, wind direction and topography, and that official short-range forecasts remain authoritative.
For the public, this means mostly mild weather and lower heating demand that day. The forecasts do not indicate heat extremes that would pose a health risk; however, highs of around 25–28 °C may be noticeable for particularly sensitive people. In the climatological context, AEMET analyses confirm that October 2026 has so far been warmer overall than the long-term averages; short warm spells towards the end of the month are consistent with such deviations, but do not allow direct conclusions about long-term trends without further climatological analysis.
The editorial team recommends following local forecasts and warnings from the Agencia Estatal de Meteorología, as well as any notices from the autonomous communities, as these give more precise details of regional differences (for example, between coast and inland or within island groups).
Editor: Andreas M. Brucker (Article created with AI assistance).